Raceday focus: Best bets, inside mail for Orange, Port Macquarie
Form analyst Matt Jones is sticking with Gary Portelli’s talented filly to make it back-to-back wins at Orange while his faith is unwavering in Nathan Doyle’s gelding to score at Port Macquarie.
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Race 1, No. 6: SHE LOVES RUBIES
This two-year-old comes back to her own age after beating the older horse with ease on debut. She’s got to be tough to beat again.
Race 6, No. 7: GLAMOUR RUNS DEEP
She has a wide gate to contend with but is more than capable of jumping and crossing them and kicking clear at the top of the straight to win again. A horse on the rise.
Race 5: 2, 3, 5
Race 6: 1, 5, 6, 7
Race 7: 1, 2, 4, 5
Race 8: 2, 3, 11
TRAINER TO WATCH
Gary Portelli unleashes exciting young horse She Loves Rubies while Abrogation and Rockover are strong chances too.
Blake Spriggs has four rides for Gary Portellli including She Loves Rubies and Abrogation. Photo: Simon Bullard/AAP ImageSource:AAP
Race 1, No. 2: UNWAVERING FAITH
She’s knocking on the door with two seconds at her past two runs and should be coming over the top of them late.
JOCKEY TO WATCH
Louise Day had good hopes with Oh Say and Hello Sunshine to end the day.
THE INSIDE MAIL FOR ORANGE
She Loves Rubies is back to where she won on debut a month ago when leading them into the turn then kicking clear to win by two lengths. It was against older horses and the third place getter has come out and won since. Overpass ran second on debut at Hawkesbury and gets a good drawn again so that, with natural improvement, gives him a shot. Mooshaka is an on-pacer who will get things easier from the gate after a good win last time from the carpark. American President looked comfortable in a trial and we’ll get to see what’s under the bonnet.
Bet: She Loves Rubies to win
See how Mooshaka goes in the first race because White Liar ran less than two lengths off it last time so that might be a good guide here. Clifton Springs is the interesting runner now with Brett Cavanough. He’s been getting better with each race and looks a different horse this time in and being under Cavanough’s care won’t halt his progression at all. Abrogation has been running mainly in town and at his only country run last time in he ran into an above average one. He’s had a winning trial to get ready for his fresh run and it looked quite good for Gary Portelli.
Bet: Abrogation to win
It looks like Sir Finn will use the inside gate and try to lead all the way again like he did last start in winning on the Sapphire Coast. His only two wins have come on heavy ground though so it’s got to be a query. Covert Miss only just won last time but was flying home over the top of them and she gets out to 1300m now which is ideal. She’s ready to go up in trip and win again. Highest Standard has shown that his best is good enough to be in the finish but he’ll need to turn things around to win. This is the easiest race Red Zephyr has been in for some time.
Bet: Covert Miss to win
William Freedman has found a suitable race for Tipping Point to break his maiden. Photo: Mark Evans/Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
Tipping Point resumes after not being all that competitive at his first campaign but two of the three races were at the provincials. He wasn’t let go in a trial and the horse that beat him in that heat ran second at its next run. And this is a weak maiden. I’ll Tell You Miss has been making up ground at her past two since a freshen up but her racing pattern mean she needs all the breaks to go her way. Karlaina deserves a change of fortunes here after not getting a lot of clear room in the straight.
Bet: Tipping Point to win
Would Be King shoots for three-straight wins here and remains in the same grade but goes up 2.5kg in weight. He’ll be on the speed and coming back 100m in trip shouldn’t be a negative. More Shots also goes for three in a row and is a good chance of leading this field into the home turn and carries 3kg less than Would Be King which may make all the difference. Kathaire was closing in on Would Be King last time and she gets a good gate and leading jockey on to give her a chance to turn the tables despite a poor winning strike rate.
Bet: More Shots to win
Glamour Runs Deep has the wide gate but the early speed to get across and be on the speed. She romped in by five and a half lengths last time and can only go better third-up which suggests she’s the one to beat up in grade. Rockover also won last time but by a much narrower margin. It was at the provincials though as the blinkers did the trick. She’ll need a touch of luck from the gate. Frankly Savvy trialled up in comfortable fashion for a new stable and she should be given the perfect run in transit and if good enough she’ll produce and be fighting it out.
Bet: Glamour Runs Deep to win
Jockey Blaike McDougall is looking for back-to-back win aboard the Matthew Dale-trained Glamour Runs Deep. Photo: Dean Lewins/AAP ImageSource:AAP
Renalot has been racing in super form for a while now and won the Orange Cup Prelude two starts back before running very well in the Wellington Cup without a lot of luck. The 2100m is a query on paper but her trainer is confidence she can run it out, being by Camelot. Dylan’s Romance beat Renalot home in the Wellington Cup but is worse off 1kg at the weights now so there won’t be much between them although the former gets an easier run from the gate. Newtown Bluebag might be underestimated again.
Bet: Renalot to win
We haven’t seen Golden Tycoon for nearly a year but if he’s retained his class then he can be winning this from a desirable gate. His trial was a winning one but we’ll have to take him on trust. Calescent is the likely leader and her racing pattern is the reason why she’s got a good record and she’ll take some catching at a trio she’s won all six of her races at. Bombdiggity has drawn to get the perfect run and he too is a 1000m specialist who is racing as well as ever.
Bet: Quinella 2, 11
Originally published asOrange, Port Macquarie tips: Rubies looks hard-pressed to beat again
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