TAB On The Punt: Nathan Exelby previews QTIS Jewel on the Gold Coast

Sky Racing and Brisbane Racing Club’s turf expert Nathan Exelby runs his eye over Saturday’s QTIS Jewel on the Gold Coast in his new weekly TAB On The Punt column.

BEST BETS

Wapiti, Race 4, No.7, $5

Heavily backed on his home track last time, but was just one-paced again. Doesn’t have a turn of foot, but he does stick on and that is in his favour in these type of conditions, which he’s proven adept at in the past.

Apache Chase, Race 8, No.1, $11/$2.90

Comes off a very good summer, including a brave effort in a hot Magic Millions Guineas at this track and has since jumped out brilliantly. Concede the favourite is a very good filly, but he looks over the odds on the Each Way basis.

Apache Chase holds off Gotta Kiss to win the Vo Rogue Plate at Eagle Farm. Picture: Trackside PhotographySource:The Courier-Mail

Ventura Ocean, Race 9, No.9, $2.90

Brings a compelling formline and one that suggests he’s a superior horse to his rivals here. The question is the heavy track, as he had limited exposure in Europe. If Kris Lees is happy to start him, I’m happy to be with him.

MONEY TALKS

Race 1: Axe $8.00-$6.50

Race 2: Skins $3.40-$3.20

Race 3:

Sugar Boom $2.25-$2.20

I’ve Gotta Nel $7.00-$6.00

Be Water My Friend $19-$16

Race 4: Dissolution $6.50-$5

Race 5:

The Candy Man $13-$8

Take Tea $18-$10

Race 6: Gemelon Bolt $7.50-$6.00

Race 7: Jadentom $3.80-$3.30

Race 8:

Kisukano $5.00-$4.40

Apache Chase $14-$11

Race 9: Elixir $27-$11

THE QUADDIE

Race 6, QTIS 2Y0 Jewel (1200m)

SWEET DOLLY has been super in her three runs/wins to date, bringing her cavalier debut win at Townsville south to an Eagle Farm stakes race and then again first up at Caloundra. She looked a more complete package at Caloundra, professional, as opposed to running all over the shop. Respected analyst Daniel O’Sullivan assessed that as the best performance by a two-year-old on a Queensland racetrack this season – ahead of the Magic Millions even. She just has to handle the wet track to make it four on end. GEMELON BOLT the clear second pick.

Selections: 7 Sweet Dolly a standout, 1 Gemelon Bolt if you require another

Race 7, Military Rose Plate (1200m)

CHIVARGO has to step up another notch, but she has a fitness edge on her key rivals, which could be significant. She’s a winner on a Heavy 9 track in Victoria, so the track should hold no concerns. OUTBACK BARBIE is the best horse here and on a Good track she would be close to a good thing, because she’s pitch-forked in under these conditions. A complete unknown on wet ground though. JADENTOM is also first up and does handle wet ground. She comes off her career best prep and deserves respect again. GEM OF SCOTLAND next best.

Selections: 7 Chivargo, 3 Outback Barbie, 4 Jadentom, 9 Gem Of Scotland

Kisukano winning at Eagle Farm. Picture: Trackside PhotographySource:The Courier-Mail

Race 8, QTIS 3YO Jewel (1200m)

MIAMI FLEISS is one of the most promising horses in Queensland, having won both starts by big margins and in quick time. The query here, as with so many others today, is the Heavy track. The value runner looks clearly to be APACHE CHASE. He was a Group 3 winner over the summer and then ran very well after being attacked on speed in the MM Guineas. Jumped out stylishly recently and if he handles the track, will be in this for a long way. KISUKANO has no issue with wet ground and looks the other winning hope back to set weights.

Selections: 1 Apache Chase, 13 Miami Fleiss, 8 Kisukano

Race 9, Benchmark 85 Handicap (1300m)

VENTURA OCEAN created a good impression at his Australian debut, fending off Wren’s Day (super impressive winner since) despite giving that horse 3kg. Back to a handicap here, he gets in well enough with 56kg and if he handles the conditions, he’s the likely winner again. If Ventura Ocean doesn’t get through the ground, this is a wide open race. ELIXIR is better suited up to 1300m here and handles soft ground. DIO DORO and AGASSI are gun wet trackers, while AMICITIA is another one that can be included off a handy fresh run over an unsuitable trip.

Selections: 9 Ventura Ocean, 15 Amicitia, 3 Elixir, 12 Dio Doro, 2 Agassi

AWAY FROM HOME

It’s been a decade since a Coolmore Classic winner has come off a Melbourne lead-up, but Chaillot ($7.50) looks capable of breaking that drought. Can back her and the Queenslander KRONE ($17) in the Rosehill Group 1 feature.

The All Star Mile looks a tough one at the Valley, but in the final event there, CORDILLA ($4) looks well placed off a sharp recent jumpout. Was competitive with Group class horses in the spring.

Originally published asHot QTIS Jewel tip still paying over $10

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